SpaceX on Sale? Why EchoStar Is a Top Position in NASA

Hong Yi Chen, CFA
By Hong Yi Chen, CFA
Portfolio Manager
June 17, 2026

Key Takeaways

  • EchoStar (SATS) is set to receive ~261.8 million SpaceX shares, worth roughly $53bn — yet its entire market cap is just $42bn, valuing the whole company below its expected SpaceX stake alone.

  • The discount looks technical, not fundamental: post-IPO selling and lock-up hedging have pressured the stock, even as it retains spectrum, cash, and cash-generative businesses (Boost Mobile, Hughes, Sling TV, and DISH).

  • On a sum-of-the-parts basis, Tema estimates EchoStar trades at ~40% below intrinsic value — about $0.60 on the dollar — making it a top NASA position alongside the fund's direct SpaceX holding.

The Opportunity

SpaceX has long been one of the most sought-after investments in the world. Following its recent IPO, investors can now buy SpaceX shares directly on the public market. Yet despite this newfound accessibility, we believe there may be an even more attractive way to gain exposure: EchoStar.

The Tema Space Innovators ETF (NASA) already owns SpaceX directly. We also added EchoStar because we believe the stock trades at a substantial discount to the value of the SpaceX shares it is expected to receive.

The SpaceX Transaction

The opportunity stems from EchoStar's agreement to exchange a significant portion of its wireless spectrum assets for SpaceX shares. The FCC has already approved the deal, clearing what was widely viewed as the most significant regulatory hurdle. Once the remaining closing conditions are satisfied, EchoStar is expected to receive approximately 261.8 million shares of SpaceX.

At SpaceX's current share price of roughly $201 (at time of writing), those shares are worth approximately $53 billion. By comparison, EchoStar's entire market capitalization is just $42 billion.

In other words, the market is valuing the entire company at less than the current value of its expected SpaceX stake alone.

More Than Just SpaceX

But EchoStar is more than a holding company for SpaceX shares. Following the transaction, it is also expected to retain a substantial cash balance, valuable spectrum assets, and several cash generative operating businesses, including Boost Mobile, Hughes, Sling TV, and DISH.

When looking across these assets in our sum-of-the-parts analysis, and accounting for outstanding debt, we estimate that EchoStar trades at a discount of ~40% to intrinsic value. Put differently, we believe investors are getting roughly $1.00 of value for $0.60.

That is what attracted us to the opportunity.

Tema's assessment of EchoStar's valuation based on the sum of the partsNote: SpaceX valued at $201 per share (261.8 million shares outstanding) as of the date of writing, with values presented on a pre-tax basis. The transaction has not closed and therefore remains subject to completion risk. Operating businesses are valued at 5.0x EBITDA. Net debt assumes receipt of the AT&T and cash components of the SpaceX spectrum transaction and includes estimated taxes associated with the sale of SpaceX shares.

Why the Discount Exists

We believe the valuation disconnect is likely driven by technical factors, rather than fundamentals. Following the SpaceX IPO, investors seeking to establish or increase direct positions may have funded those purchases by selling other space-related holdings, creating broad selling pressure across the sector, including EchoStar. Additionally, some early SpaceX investors whose shares remain subject to lock-up restrictions may be using EchoStar as a hedge, creating further pressure unrelated to EchoStar's underlying value.

In our view, these technical dynamics have created an unusual opportunity.

Paths to Value Creation

The first path to value creation is straightforward: If EchoStar simply trades in line with the value of its SpaceX holdings, the discount could narrow significantly. A second path exists if investors begin to recognize the value of the company's remaining spectrum assets and operating businesses.

Risks and Considerations

Of course, no investment is without risk. Market volatility and transaction-related considerations still warrant attention. However, we believe the current valuation provides a meaningful margin between price and underlying value.

Why It Matters for Investors

As active investors in the space economy, we are constantly searching for situations where market prices diverge from fundamentals. EchoStar stands out as one of the most compelling examples we have found.

While we continue to own SpaceX directly, EchoStar offers something different: The opportunity to gain exposure to one of the world's most important space companies at a meaningful discount—while receiving a collection of additional assets that the market appears to be largely ignoring.

For that reason, EchoStar has become an important complement to our SpaceX position within the portfolio.

 


 

Disclosure: As of Jun 17, 2026 SpaceX (12.47%) and EchoStar (10.90%) are holdings in NASA. A portion of the SpaceX (9.19%) position is a private security accessed through an SPV. Private investments held through SPVs carry additional risks. Please see below for additional detail. Consider fund risk and objectives before investing. For current fund information, holdings, and the prospectus, visit the NASA ETF fund page.